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Mesothelioma Publication - Statistical Validation

This is an abstract of an article about the statistical validation of mesothelioma.  The article was published at PubMed by the NIH.

Statistical validation of the EORTC prognostic model for malignant pleural mesothelioma based on three consecutive phase II trials.

Fennell DA, Parmar A, Shamash J, Evans MT, Sheaff MT, Sylvester R, Dhaliwal K, Gower N, Steele J, Rudd R.
Lung Cancer and Mesthelioma Unit, Department of Oncology, and the Institute of Cell and Molecular Science-Pathology, St. Bartholomew's Hospital, London, United Kingdom. d.a.fennell@qmul.ac.uk
J Clin Oncol. 2005 Jan 1;23(1):184-9.

PURPOSE: Malignant pleural mesothelioma (MPM) carries a poor prognosis due to chemoresistance. The European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) prognostic model was reported to predict survival in MPM. Our retrospective analysis set out to test the validity of the model as a prognostic tool in patients treated in three phase II trials at St Bartholomew's Hospital (London, United Kingdom) between 1999 and 2003.

PATIENTS AND METHODS: A total of 145 patients were treated in three phase II trials; vinorelbine (VIN; 70 patients), vinorelbine/oxaliplatin (VO; 26 patients), and irinotecan/cisplatin/mitomycin C (IPM; 49 patients). Two subgroups, high-risk and low-risk, were defined by EORTC prognostic score (EPS). EPS was determined by a five-parameter model incorporating age, sex, histology, probability of diagnosis, and leukocyte count. An EPS cutoff of less than 1.27 (low risk) or more than 1.27 (high risk) was used to stratify Kaplan-Meier survival curves. Each of the EPS variables exhibited either trends or significant stratification of overall survival (OS).

RESULTS: Multivariate analysis confirmed leukocyte count, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status, and sarcomatous histology as independent prognostic variables. EPS stratified OS in both individual and pooled trial datasets. No association between objective tumor response and EPS classification was identified by multinomial logistic regression. EPS stratified progression-free survival for the VO and IPM cohorts, but not for VIN.

CONCLUSION: This study validates the EPS system as a robust tool for stratifying small trials into low- and high-risk subgroups. EPS should facilitate patient selection and analysis in randomized clinical trials.

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see also:

Greece Study about mesothelioma in Greece published by NIH
Study of mesothelioma in Greece: more information from our law firm

Statistical Validation Publication: Statistical validation for malignant pleural mesothelioma
Malignant Pleural Mesothelioma - Statistical Validation

National Mesothelioma Publications The National Institute of Health mesothelioma research publications
Mesothelioma publications from the National Institute of Health